分析师推荐重申的确认效应

The Confirmation Effect of Analyst Recommendation Reiterations

Journal of Accounting Auditing & Finance · 2016
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了卖方分析师重申股票推荐(而非改变推荐)是否具有信息含量,发现重申能降低信息不确定性并引发与原始推荐方向一致的市场反应,即确认效应。

Abstract

The vast majority of reports written by sell-side equity analysts conclude with a reiteration of the analyst’s existing recommendation on a firm’s stock. Yet there is a disproportionate amount of research that focuses on the market reactions of changes in recommendations and a prevailing sense that reiterations do not matter. In this article, we test the hypothesis that reiterations of recommendations serve to resolve information uncertainty since the original recommendation was published and that they give rise to market reactions in the direction of the original recommendation, which we call a confirmation effect. Using a sample of analyst reports that do not contain any changes in recommendations, earnings forecasts, or price targets, we focus solely on reiterations and show that they are associated with proxies for information content, reductions in information uncertainty, and return reactions consistent with a confirmation effect.

金融会计行为金融学市场微观结构