英国脱欧公投:一个分裂的国家,一个分裂的大陆

The Brexit vote: a divided nation, a divided continent

Journal of European Public Policy · 2016
被引 1132 · 同刊同年前 1%
ABS 3

中文导读

本文分析英国脱欧公投的驱动因素,发现全球化赢家与输家之间的分歧是关键,低教育、低收入和年长选民更倾向脱欧,并探讨其对欧洲政治体制的挑战。

Abstract

The outcome of the British referendum on European Union (EU) membership sent shockwaves through Europe. While Britain is an outlier when it comes to the strength of Euroscepticism, the anti-immigration and anti-establishment sentiments that produced the referendum outcome are gaining strength across Europe. Analysing campaign and survey data, this article shows that the divide between winners and losers of globalization was a key driver of the vote. Favouring British EU exit, or ‘Brexit’, was particularly common among less-educated, poorer and older voters, and those who expressed concerns about immigration and multi-culturalism. While there is no evidence of a short-term contagion effect with similar membership referendums in other countries, the Brexit vote nonetheless poses a serious challenge to the political establishment across Europe.

政治经济学欧洲联盟投票行为全球化移民政策