Plausibility: A Fair & Balanced View of 30 Years of Progress in Ecologics
论文指出理论模型的可识别性与普适性相互对立，批评当前研究追求新奇而忽视局限性，建议期刊用三分之一篇幅发表独立复制和批评文章。
Theoretical model identifiability and universality are opposites. Only the strongest and most basic forces and models are universal enough to permit reasonable extrapolation above and beyond their specific historical contexts. Unfortunately, papers that admit to these limits are rarely considered interesting. Instead, researchers search for and find ever-more unlikely explanations and ever-more unlikely evidence in a competitive quest to be surprising, clever and published. The review processes have also incentiviced lack of care, private and social failure to correct errors, and even outright misconduct. The discipline is veering towards a theater of the absurd. To help correct the problem, I suggest dedicating a third of every journal to independent replications and critique of prior papers.