INDUCING OVERCONFIDENCE
研究他人影响如何导致过度自信：得到帮助越多，任务得分越难反映真实能力；自信者因获得更多合作机会而接收不到负面反馈，从而维持过度自信。
In this study, I present a theory which explains how the influence of others may generate overconfidence. The argument is built on the idea that the more help an agent receives when performing a task, the less informative the score on that task will be relative to the agent's ability to perform it. If an agent is confident, he tends to benefit from more cooperation opportunities simply because he is likely to be perceived as being more skilled. As a result, he remains confident because the future signals he will observe will contain very little information regarding his ability. On the contrary, if the agent is not confident, he will receive more informative scores, which will help him learn his true ability faster.