Evolution Cum Agency: Toward a Model of Strategic Foresight
研究了查尔斯·美林金融超市商业模式的战略创新起源，通过三个战略远见概念模型进行分析，为理解战略远见提供了整合模型，并指出未来行为战略研究方向。
This study examines the origin of the strategic innovation that changed the face of financial services—Charles Merrill’s financial supermarket business model—through three well-known and largely juxtaposed conceptual models of strategic foresight. Our study, whose purpose, business historical focus, and structure mirrors Graham Allison’s famous “Conceptual Models of the Cuban Missile Crisis,” allows us to make three contributions. First, it sharpens our understanding of the models we used in the study. Second, it provides the foundations of an integrated view and model of strategic foresight that suggests disciplined strategic foresight is possible, understandable, and replicable within some precise boundaries. Finally, it suggests directions for future behavioral strategy work.