具有全局和组特定因子的因子模型的收缩估计

Shrinkage Estimation of Factor Models With Global and Group-Specific Factors

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2019
被引 28
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种自适应组套索估计器,用于同时估计全局和组特定因子的载荷并确定因子个数,蒙特卡洛模拟和实证应用(欧元区、美国、英国数据)验证了其有效性。

Abstract

This article develops an adaptive group lasso estimator for factor models with both global and group-specific factors. The global factors can affect all variables, whereas the group-specific factors are only allowed to affect the variables within a certain group. We propose a new method to separately identify the spaces spanned by global and group-specific factors, and we develop a new shrinkage estimator that can consistently estimate the factor loadings and determine the number of factors simultaneously. The asymptotic result shows that the proposed estimator can select the true model specification with a probability approaching one. An information criterion is developed to select the optimal tuning parameters in the shrinkage estimation. Monte Carlo simulations confirm our asymptotic theory, and the proposed estimator performs well in finite samples. In an empirical application, we implement the proposed method to a dataset consisting of Eurozone, United States, and United Kingdom macroeconomic variables, and we detect one global factor, one U.S.-specific factor, and one Eurozone-specific factor.

因子模型自适应组Lasso全局因子组特异因子