Change point tests in functional factor models with application to yield curves
针对收益率曲线均值结构(包括水平、范围和凹凸性)是否发生变化的检验问题,提出了几种统计检验方法,并考虑了误差结构中的变点对检验效果的影响。
Motivated by the problem of the detection of a change point in the mean structure of yield curves, we introduce several methods to test the null hypothesis that the mean structure of a time series of curves does not change. The mean structure does not refer merely to the level of the curves, but also to their range and other aspects of their shape, most prominently concavity. The performance of the tests depends on whether possible break points in the error structure, which refers to the random variability in the aspects of the curves listed above, are taken into account or not. If they are not taken into account, then an existing change point in the mean structure may fail to be detected with a large probability. The paper contains a complete asymptotic theory, a simulation study and illustrative data examples, as well as details of the numerical implementation of the testing procedures.