体育场中的警察与小偷:衡量足球比赛对犯罪的(多重)影响

Police and Thieves in the Stadium: Measuring the (Multiple) Effects of Football Matches on Crime

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2015
被引 74
ABS 3

中文导读

利用伦敦球队足球比赛信息与区域犯罪数据,研究发现主场比赛仅增加财产犯罪,而客场比赛因潜在罪犯自愿参加比赛而减少犯罪,且警力转移导致保护不足区域财产犯罪上升。

Abstract

Summary Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self-incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.

犯罪经济学体育经济学公共安全城市经济学