异质性风险与时间偏好

Heterogeneous risk and time preferences

Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · 2016
被引 41
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种新方法,利用分层贝叶斯估计同时测量个体的风险态度和时间偏好,发现风险寻求者更缺乏耐心、更不愿延迟消费。

Abstract

Assessing individuals’ time and risk preferences is crucial in domains such as health-related decisions (e.g., dieting, addictions), environmentally-friendly practices, and saving opportunities. We propose a new method to jointly elicit and estimate risk attitudes and intertemporal choices. We use a novel individual level estimation procedure based on a hierarchical Bayes methodology, which can integrate different functional forms for discounting and risk attitudes. This method provides individual level estimates, and allows us to explore the heterogeneity in the data. In addition, we report a negative correlation between risk and time preferences, implying that risk-seeking individuals are less patient and less willing to defer consumption.

行为经济学风险偏好时间偏好计量经济学