拉丁美洲和加勒比地区交通部门能源需求与效率估计的随机前沿分析方法

A Stochastic Frontier Analysis Approach for Estimating Energy Demand and Efficiency in the Transport Sector of Latin America and the Caribbean

The Energy Journal · 2016
被引 37
ABS 3

中文导读

用随机前沿分析法估计交通部门的能源需求函数,得到比传统能源强度指标更稳健的国家级能源效率指标,并首次在能源需求估计中使用随机参数模型,适用于拉丁美洲和加勒比地区。

Abstract

In this paper, a stochastic frontier analysis approach is applied to estimate energy demand functions in the transport sector. This approach allows us to obtain energy efficiency measures at country level that are a robust alternative to the energy intensity indicators commonly used for international comparisons. A transitive multilateral price index is constructed for aggregating the diverse energy components employed in the sector. Due to the likely unobserved heterogeneity among countries, the use of a random parameters model is proposed to accommodate these differences and to obtain different income and price elasticities per country. The estimated model is compared with alternative approaches of addressing this issue such as latent class, true fixed effects or true random effects models. This study is the first to use a random parameters stochastic frontier approach in the estimation of energy demand functions. The proposed procedure is applied to Latin America and the Caribbean, where the transport sector represents a large share of total energy consumption.

能源经济学交通经济学随机前沿分析拉丁美洲和加勒比地区