Climate Change and Labour Allocation in Rural Mexico: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather
利用墨西哥农村28年个体就业面板数据，研究发现高温年份减少本地就业（尤其工资工作和非农劳动），并增加国内城乡及国际向美国的迁移。中等排放情景下，极端高温可能使本地就业下降1.4%，移民增加1.4%。
This article evaluates the effects of annual fluctuations in weather on employment in rural Mexico to gain insight into the potential labour market implications of climate change. Using a 28‐year panel on individual employment, we find that years with a high occurrence of heat lead to a reduction in local employment, particularly for wage work and non‐farm labour. Extreme heat also increases migration domestically from rural to urban areas and internationally to the US. A medium emissions scenario implies that increases in extreme heat may decrease local employment by up to 1.4% and climate change may increase migration by 1.4%.