时间序列的非嵌套模型比较

Nonnested model comparisons for time series

Biometrika · 2016
被引 8
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了非嵌套时间序列模型的比较方法,推导了似然比统计量的中心极限定理,并通过模拟和零售数据验证了方法。

Abstract

This paper addresses the topic of nonnested time series model comparisons. The main result is a central limit theorem for the likelihood ratio statistic when the models are nonnested and non-equivalent. The concepts of model equivalence and forecast equivalence, which are important for determining the parameter subset corresponding to the null hypothesis, are developed. The method is validated through a simulation study and illustrated on a retail time series.

时间序列分析计量经济学模型比较似然比检验