紧缩与私人债务

Austerity and Private Debt

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2017
被引 34
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究发现财政紧缩的代价关键取决于私人债务水平:高私人债务时紧缩导致严重经济收缩,低私人债务时则无显著影响,且家庭资产负债表恶化是理解这一差异的关键。

Abstract

Abstract This study provides empirical evidence that the costs of austerity crucially depend on the level of private indebtedness. In particular, fiscal consolidations lead to severe contractions when implemented in high private‐debt states. Contrary, fiscal consolidations have no significant effect on economic activity when private debt is low. These results are robust to alternative definitions of private‐debt overhang, the composition of fiscal consolidations, and controlling for the state of the business cycle and government debt overhang. I show that deterioration in household balance sheets is important to understand private debt‐dependent effects of austerity.

财政紧缩私人债务家庭资产负债表经济衰退