A FUZZY KNOWLEDGE-BASED FRAMEWORK FOR RISK ASSESSMENT OF RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
利用模糊认知图构建了一个住宅房地产投资风险评估的概念模型，帮助识别和理解各影响因素间的因果关系，从而支持更明智的投资决策。
Risk analysis of residential real estate investments requires careful analysis of certain variables (or determinants). Because real estate is a key sector for economic and social development, this risk analysis is seen as critical in supporting decision processes relating to buying or selling residential properties, partly due to the pressures caused by the current economic environment. This study aims to develop a conceptual reference model for risk assessment of residential real estate using fuzzy cognitive mapping. This fuzzy model allows cause-and-effect relationships between determinants to be identified and better understood, which in turn allows for better informed investment decisions. The results show that the use of cognitive maps reduces the number of omitted criteria and favors learning with regard to how the criteria relate to each other, holding great potential and versatility in structuring complex decision problems. Practical implications, strengths and weaknesses of our proposal are discussed.