改进美国移民的气候变化建模

Improving Climate-Change Modeling of US Migration

American Economic Review · 2017
被引 7
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

指出美国人口正迁向受气候变化影响更严重的阳光地带和西部,而现有研究多忽略这种重新布局,提出了改进美国气候变化建模的若干方向。

Abstract

Manmade climate change (CC) has catastrophic consequences. The United States has already experienced wholesale population realignment due to climate as households have relocated to the Sunbelt and West. The irony is that people are moving toward the heat and major storms associated with CC. As CC intensifies, with high rates of internal US factor mobility, firms and households will likely again relocate to areas with higher utility and profits, reducing CC costs. Yet current research typically focuses on CC costs in a given location without considering this realignment. We propose several avenues to overcome such shortcomings in US CC modeling.

气候移民建模美国人口迁移气候变化适应空间均衡模型