高维已实现协方差矩阵的动态主成分CAW模型

Dynamic principal component CAW models for high-dimensional realized covariance matrices

Quantitative Finance · 2020
被引 7
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种动态主成分CAW模型,用于高维资产收益已实现协方差矩阵的建模与预测,通过谱分解和独立动态假设,使模型适用于多达100个资产,并展现出优于竞争模型的预测性能。

Abstract

We propose a new dynamic principal component CAW model (DPC-CAW) for time-series of high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of asset returns (up to 100 assets). The model performs a spectral decomposition of the scale matrix of a central Wishart distribution and assumes independent dynamics for the principal components' variances and the eigenvector processes. A three-step estimation procedure makes the model applicable to high-dimensional covariance matrices. We analyze the finite sample properties of the estimation approach and provide an empirical application to realized covariance matrices for 100 assets. The DPC-CAW model has particularly good forecasting properties and outperforms its competitors for realized covariance matrices.

金融计量经济学高维协方差矩阵主成分分析时间序列建模