包络模型的贝叶斯方法

A Bayesian approach for envelope models

Annals of Statistics · 2017
被引 44
ABS 4★

中文导读

针对多元线性回归中的包络模型,开发了一套完整的贝叶斯估计与模型选择框架,利用矩阵Bingham分布构造先验,通过块Gibbs抽样实现高效计算,能处理样本量小于响应变量数的情况,并提供不确定性量化。

Abstract

The envelope model is a new paradigm to address estimation and prediction in multivariate analysis. Using sufficient dimension reduction techniques, it has the potential to achieve substantial efficiency gains compared to standard models. This model was first introduced by [Statist. Sinica 20 (2010) 927–960] for multivariate linear regression, and has since been adapted to many other contexts. However, a Bayesian approach for analyzing envelope models has not yet been investigated in the literature. In this paper, we develop a comprehensive Bayesian framework for estimation and model selection in envelope models in the context of multivariate linear regression. Our framework has the following attractive features. First, we use the matrix Bingham distribution to construct a prior on the orthogonal basis matrix of the envelope subspace. This prior respects the manifold structure of the envelope model, and can directly incorporate prior information about the envelope subspace through the specification of hyperparamaters. This feature has potential applications in the broader Bayesian sufficient dimension reduction area. Second, sampling from the resulting posterior distribution can be achieved by using a block Gibbs sampler with standard associated conditionals. This in turn facilitates computationally efficient estimation and model selection. Third, unlike the current frequentist approach, our approach can accommodate situations where the sample size is smaller than the number of responses. Lastly, the Bayesian approach inherently offers comprehensive uncertainty characterization through the posterior distribution. We illustrate the utility of our approach on simulated and real datasets.

贝叶斯统计多元线性回归降维模型选择包络模型