The economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration
分析了英国脱欧后移民限制对经济增长和工资的影响，发现移民减少会显著降低英国人均GDP，仅对低技能服务业工资有微弱正面作用。
We analyse the determinants of migration flows to the UK, and the impact of restrictions on free movement post-Brexit, in both the short and long term. We then provide plausible, empirically based estimates of the likely impacts on growth and wages using relationships from the existing empirical literature. We find that Brexit-induced reductions in migration are likely to have a significant negative impact on UK GDP per capita (and GDP), with marginal positive impacts on wages in the low-skill service sector.