Is Food Self-Sufficiency Conducive to Long-Term Growth? An Assessment of Malthus (1803) on the International Corn Trade
重构了马尔萨斯在1803年《人口原理》第二版中关于平衡增长模式优越性的论证,并揭示其与1815年小册子中粮食自给自足政策建议的理论一致性,适合研究经济思想史和农业政策的学者参考。
We reconstruct the arguments employed by Malthus in the second edition of An Essay on the Principle of Population (1803) concerning the superiority of a balanced growth pattern, and we show their theoretical consistency with Malthus's food self-sufficiency policy proposal in his 1815 pamphlet, Grounds of an Opinion. Malthus (1803) argued that the contemporary British unbalanced and manufacturing export–led growth pattern was not sustainable in the long term; accordingly, he proposed food self-sufficiency as a safer long-term policy option than free foreign corn imports. Moreover, we investigate the theoretical influences on Malthus's analysis of international corn trade, particularly the Smithian one.