冲击还是响应:是什么驱动了时变的离散度?

Shocks versus Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?

Journal of Political Economy · 2018
被引 40
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了经济变量离散度反周期变化的驱动因素,利用美国劳工统计局微观数据发现汇率传导与价格变化离散度正相关,支持时变响应模型。

Abstract

The dispersion of many economic variables is countercyclical. What drives this fact? Greater dispersion could arise from greater volatility of shocks or from agents responding more to shocks of constant size. Without data separately measuring exogenous shocks and endogenous responses, a theoretical debate between these explanations has emerged. In this paper, we provide novel identification using price data in the open-economy environment: using confidential BLS microdata, we document a robust positive relationship between exchange rate pass-through and the dispersion of item-level price changes. We then show that this relationship supports models with time-varying responsiveness.

时变响应性汇率传导价格离散反周期波动