What Has Driven the Great Fertility Decline in Developing Countries since 1960?
利用92个发展中国家1960-2014年的年度数据,研究收入、女性教育、世俗化等因素对生育率下降的影响,并处理内生性问题。
Several developing countries are currently experiencing a significant fertility decline, however, academic economists have paid little attention to this transition. This paper seeks to explain the fertility transition by infant mortality, urbanisation, income, culture and educational attainment of females and males using annual data for 92 developing countries over the period 1960–2014. External instruments are used to deal with endogeneity. The results suggest that increasing per capita income, improved female education and increasing secularisation have been important determinants for declining fertility in the developing world.