Early Termination of Small Loans in the Multifamily Mortgage Market
利用房利美小额多户住宅贷款数据，研究提前还款和违约的影响因素，发现贷款价值比、偿债收入比、提前还款罚金到期及运营效率等均显著影响贷款终止。
Abstract This article uses micro‐level data on small (as defined by Fannie Mae) multifamily loans in the Fannie Mae loan portfolio to examine prepayment and default performance. The results document the importance of equity, as measured by the loan‐to‐value ratio, and contemporaneous property operating income relative to debt service obligations, as measured by the debt‐to‐income ratio. Our results indicate that the expiration of prepayment penalties and yield maintenance provisions lead to large spikes in prepayment and default. The results also illustrate that multifamily loans, as they are not fully amortized, also have a substantial risk of both extension and default at term. The operating efficiency of the property, cash reserves and local economic conditions can also impact terminations.