The Geography of Interstate Resource Wars *
研究自然资源的地理位置如何影响国家间冲突,发现石油靠近边境时冲突更可能发生,且不对称分布加剧风险,对国际关系和经济地理学者有参考价值。
Abstract We establish a theoretical and empirical framework to assess the role of resource endowments and their geographic location in interstate conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict is more likely when at least one country has natural resources, when the resources in the resource-endowed country are closer to the border, and, in the case where both countries have natural resources, when the resources are located asymmetrically vis-à-vis the border. We test these predictions on a novel data set featuring oilfield distances from bilateral borders. The empirical analysis shows that the presence and location of oil are significant and quantitatively important predictors of interstate conflicts after World War II.