高阶风险偏好的稳健性研究

ON THE ROBUSTNESS OF HIGHER ORDER RISK PREFERENCES

Journal of Risk & Insurance · 2017
被引 31
ABS 3

中文导读

通过三种方式检验高阶风险偏好模式的稳健性:直接复制货币复合彩票实验、比较复合与简化彩票行为、评估货币与非货币风险选择,发现个体对两类彩票处理不同且结果因风险类型而异。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Economists have begun to recognize the role that higher order risk preferences play in a variety of settings. As such, several experiments have documented the degree of prudence, temperance, and, to a lesser extent, edginess and bentness that laboratory subjects exhibit. More recently, researchers have argued that higher order risk preferences generally conform to mixed risk‐averse and mixed risk‐loving patterns that arise from a preference for disaggregating or aggregating harms, respectively. This article examines the robustness of this pattern in three ways. First, it attempts to directly replicate previous results with compound lotteries over monetary outcomes. Second, it compares behavior in compound lotteries with behavior in reduced‐form lotteries. And third, it evaluates choices over monetary and nonmonetary risks. While previous results are replicated for compound lotteries over monetary outcomes and aggregate behavior with reduced‐form lotteries has a similar pattern, individuals clearly treat compound and reduced‐form lotteries differently. Further, behavior differs between monetary and nonmonetary outcomes.

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