早期土地战争的经济学

The economics of early warfare over land

Journal of Development Economics · 2017
被引 18
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了史前狩猎采集者和农民之间因土地引发的战争,发现战争需要高迁移成本和足够大的生产力冲击两个条件,且结果与考古和人类学证据一致。

Abstract

We investigate the incidence of early warfare among foragers and farmers in prehistory. Our focus is specifically on conflict over land. Food is produced using inputs of labor and land, and the probability of victory in a conflict depends on relative group sizes. The group sizes are determined by individual migration and Malthusian population dynamics. Both factors result in larger populations at better sites, which deters attack. There are two necessary conditions for warfare: high enough individual mobility costs and large enough shocks to the relative productivities of the sites. Together, these conditions are sufficient. In particular, technological or environmental shocks that alter the productivities of sites can trigger warfare, but only if individual agents do not change sites in response. These results are consistent with evidence from archaeology and anthropology.

史前战争土地冲突马尔萨斯人口动态群体规模