冲突解决图模型中的行为分析

Behavioral Analysis in the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution

IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems · 2017
被引 30
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一种算法,通过分析决策者的稳定性结果和冲突均衡,判断哪种稳定性定义(如纳什均衡)最能解释观察到的行为,并应用于加美软木争端案例。

Abstract

Using the observed or desired stability results of each decision maker (DM) and the equilibrium of a conflict, an algorithm is proposed that determines whether the Nash, general metarationality, symmetric metarationality or sequential stability definition best explains the observations or how to achieve the desired equilibrium. The matrix representation of the graph model for conflict resolution, normally used to determine stabilities that reflect different models of human interaction in conflict, is utilized here to keep track of available one-step moves for each DM, as well as the DMs' relative preferences among states. A key theorem involving matrix representation of graph models determines which stability types are consistent with the observations or achievement of the desired equilibrium, taking into account specified preferences of the DMs, for the case of two or more DMs. To illustrate the use of the algorithm in practice, behavioral analysis is applied to a softwood lumber dispute between Canada and the USA.

冲突分析图模型决策理论博弈论国际关系