结构模型在计量经济学中的应用

The Use of Structural Models in Econometrics

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2017
被引 88
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

讨论结构经济模型在实证分析和政策设计中的作用,说明它如何超越传统简化形式研究,识别因果机制并量化反事实政策效果,适合对结构估计方法感兴趣的实证研究者。

Abstract

This paper discusses the role of structural economic models in empirical analysis and policy design. The central payoff of a structural econometric model is that it allows an empirical researcher to go beyond the conclusions of a more conventional empirical study that provides reduced-form causal relationships. Structural models identify mechanisms that determine outcomes and are designed to analyze counterfactual policies, quantifying impacts on specific outcomes as well as effects in the short and longer run. We start by defining structural models, distinguishing between those that are fully specified and those that are partially specified. We contrast the treatment effects approach with structural models, and present an example of how a structural model is specified and the particular choices that were made. We cover combining structural estimation with randomized experiments. We then turn to numerical techniques for solving dynamic stochastic models that are often used in structural estimation, again with an example. The penultimate section focuses on issues of estimation using the method of moments.

结构模型计量经济学反事实政策分析矩估计