Big Banks, Idiosyncratic Volatility, and Systemic Risk
研究发现美国银行资产自1990年代以来更集中于大机构,但银行控股公司的特质资产波动性却下降,这意味着虽然资产集中带来的风险上升,但特质波动这一风险来源有所减弱。
Starting in the 1990s, US bank assets grew more concentrated among a few large institutions. We explore the changing role of idiosyncratic volatility as a shaping force of the bank asset power law distribution. Our results reveal that idiosyncratic asset volatilities for bank-holding companies declined since the 1990s. To the extent that firm-specific shocks can have significant macroeconomic consequences, this result implies that even as one obvious source of aggregate risk and contagion--bank asset concentration--has increased, another important source--idiosyncratic volatility--has diminished.