1969年至2011年美国代内职业流动性的上升趋势

Rising Intragenerational Occupational Mobility in the United States, 1969 to 2011

American Sociological Review · 2017
被引 87
FT 50ABS 4★

中文导读

研究了1969年至2011年美国代内职业流动性的趋势,发现流动性在几乎所有职业层级上都有所上升,尤其自1990年代初以来,并探讨了其与宏观经济趋势的关联。

Abstract

Despite the theoretical importance of intragenerational mobility and its connection to intergenerational mobility, no study since the 1970s has documented trends in intragenerational occupational mobility. The present article fills this intellectual gap by presenting evidence of an increasing trend in intragenerational mobility in the United States from 1969 to 2011. We decompose the trend using a nested occupational classification scheme that distinguishes between disaggregated micro-classes and progressively more aggregated meso-classes, macro-classes, and manual and nonmanual sectors. Log-linear analysis reveals that mobility increased across the occupational structure at nearly all levels of aggregation, especially after the early 1990s. Controlling for structural changes in occupational distributions modifies, but does not substantially alter, these findings. Trends are qualitatively similar for men and women. We connect increasing mobility to other macro-economic trends dating back to the 1970s, including changing labor force composition, technologies, employment relations, and industrial structures. We reassert the sociological significance of intragenerational mobility and discuss how increasing variability in occupational transitions within careers may counteract or mask trends in intergenerational mobility, across occupations and across more broadly construed social classes.

社会流动职业流动劳动经济学社会学宏观经济学