有效需求模型中的不确定性冲击:评论

Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment

Econometrica · 2018
被引 25
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

评论Basu和Bundick(2017)的模型,指出当Epstein-Zin时间加总权重之和不为1时,偏好波动冲击的响应存在渐近线;限制权重和为1后,冲击效应消失。

Abstract

Basu and Bundick, 2017 showed an intertemporal preference volatility shock has meaningful effects on real activity in a New Keynesian model with Epstein and Zin, 1991 preferences. We show that when the distributional weights on current and future utility in the Epstein–Zin time aggregator do not sum to 1, there is an asymptote in the responses to such a shock with unit intertemporal elasticity of substitution. In the Basu–Bundick model, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is set near unity and the preference shock only hits current utility, so the sum of the weights differs from 1. We show that when we restrict the weights to sum to 1, the asymptote disappears and preference volatility shocks no longer have large effects. We examine several different calibrations and preferences as potential resolutions with varying degrees of success.

不确定性冲击有效需求Epstein-Zin偏好跨期替代弹性