不确定性下的管理——不可避免的风险承担

Management under uncertainty – the unavoidable risk-taking

Multinational Business Review · 2017
被引 44
ABS 3

中文导读

基于乌普萨拉国际化过程模型,研究管理者如何在不确定性下行动,通过两项实证(北欧大型上市公司高管调查和沃尔沃汽车案例)提出包含小步调整、学习、关系构建和果断行动的行为模型。

Abstract

Purpose Accentuating the concept of management under uncertainty in the Uppsala internationalization process model, the purpose of this paper is to develop a model for describing how managers act while keeping uncertainty at an acceptable level. Design/methodology/approach The authors perform two empirical studies to underpin the model they construct. First, a survey of 309 chief executive officers and chief financial officers in large, publicly listed international firms in the Nordic region on managerial risk perceptions and, second, a case study of Volvo Car Corporation and its endeavors when developing new car models for the Chinese market on a new platform – a process characterized by unprecedented uncertainty. Findings The proposed model describing managers’ behavior under uncertainty contains elements such as adjusting/proceeding in small steps, reducing uncertainty via learning, building relationships with important parties in the environment to avoid unforeseen changes and re-dos (i.e. starting all over again) and, perhaps most important, acting despite uncertainty. Originality/value The paper highlights a central, though forgotten, concept of the Uppsala internationalization process model, i.e. management under uncertainty, and, thereby, opens a new path for research on how manager behave under the sway of uncertainty.

国际化风险管理企业行为决策理论