评估奥运会:经济影响及超越

ASSESSING THE OLYMPIC GAMES: THE ECONOMIC IMPACT AND BEYOND

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2017
被引 73
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

综述了奥运会评估文献,聚焦经济影响分析,指出事前研究常夸大收益、低估成本,而事后跨国计量研究发现了被忽视的持久宏观效益。

Abstract

Abstract This study reviews the literature on the evaluation of the Olympic Games, within the broader framework of their significance as cultural assets and opportunities for endogenous growth and sustainable development of the host city. The study reviews the main approaches to the economic assessment of the Games, from the point of view of the underlying economic concepts and methodologies, as well as of the empirical results obtained. It focuses on the effects that are measured and on those, which even though important, are generally neglected. The methodologies utilized for the quantitative assessments of the Games are reviewed with special emphasis on impact and cost–benefit analysis, both on ex ante and ex post basis. The studies surveyed are analysed from the point of view of different sets of effects on the host city, and for a limited number of cases, on the host country. While the major focus is on hosting the Summer Olympics, some attention is also paid to the bidding cities, the Winter Olympics and the Paralympics. The general findings appear to be controversial with some hints of positive overall effects, but also with a well‐documented tendency to exaggerate the benefits and underestimate the costs of holding the Games in the ex ante versus the ex post studies. The survey finally suggests that ex post cross‐country econometric studies tend to catch sizable differential and persistent benefits ignored by individual studies, especially on macroeconomic and trade variables.

奥运经济评估成本效益分析主办城市影响事前事后研究