纯跳半鞅时变跳跃活动性的检验

Testing for time-varying jump activity for pure jump semimartingales

Annals of Statistics · 2017
被引 14
ABS 4★

中文导读

针对离散观测的纯跳Itô半鞅,提出检验其跳跃活动性指数是否随时间变化的统计方法,基于局部与全局估计量的变异性对比,适用于高频金融数据。

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a test for deciding whether the jump activity index of a discretely observed Itô semimartingale of pure-jump type (i.e., one without a diffusion) varies over a fixed interval of time. The asymptotic setting is based on observations within a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The test is derived for semimartingales whose “spot” jump compensator around zero is like that of a stable process, but importantly the stability index can vary over the time interval. The test is based on forming a sequence of local estimators of the jump activity over blocks of shrinking time span and contrasting their variability around a global activity estimator based on the whole data set. The local and global jump activity estimates are constructed from the real part of the empirical characteristic function of the increments of the process scaled by local power variations. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis of constant jump activity and show that the test has asymptotic power of one against fixed alternatives of processes with time-varying jump activity.

金融计量经济学时间序列分析非参数统计随机过程