GMM中有效的两步识别稳健置信集

Valid Two-Step Identification-Robust Confidence Sets for GMM

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2017
被引 92
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

针对弱识别问题,提出一种通用的两步法,先检测模型识别强度,再构建稳健置信集,在弱识别下控制覆盖扭曲,在强识别下以趋于1的概率正确指示。

Abstract

In models with potentially weak identification, researchers often decide whether to report a robust confidence set based on an initial assessment of model identification. Two-step procedures of this sort can generate large coverage distortions for reported confidence sets, and existing procedures for controlling these distortions are quite limited. This paper introduces a generally applicable approach to detecting weak identification and constructing two-step confidence sets in GMM. This approach controls coverage distortions under weak identification and indicates strong identification, with probability tending to 1 when the model is well identified.

弱识别检验两步置信集GMM覆盖扭曲控制