一种新的协方差函数与平稳时空随机过程的时空预测(克里金法)

A New Covariance Function and Spatio‐Temporal Prediction (Kriging) for A Stationary Spatio‐Temporal Random Process

Journal of Time Series Analysis · 2017
被引 10
ABS 3

中文导读

针对平稳时空随机过程,利用离散傅里叶变换推导出闭合形式的二阶时空谱和协方差函数,并基于频率变差图法估计参数,实现时空预测。

Abstract

Consider a stationary spatio‐temporal random process and let be a sample from the process. Our object here is to predict, given the sample, for all t at the location s o . To obtain the predictors, we define a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms using the observed time series. We consider these discrete Fourier transforms as a sample from the complex valued random variable . Assuming that the discrete Fourier transforms satisfy a complex stochastic partial differential equation of the Laplacian type with a scaling function that is a polynomial in the temporal spectral frequency ω , we obtain, in a closed form, expressions for the second‐order spatio‐temporal spectrum and the covariance function. The spectral density function obtained corresponds to a non‐separable random process. The optimal predictor of the discrete Fourier transform is in terms of the covariance functions. The estimation of the parameters of the spatio‐temporal covariance function is considered and is based on the recently introduced frequency variogram method. The methods given here can be extended to situations where the observations are corrupted by independent white noise. The methods are illustrated with a real data set.

时空统计协方差函数克里金法谱密度估计傅里叶变换