有偏见的政策专业人士

Biased Policy Professionals

World Bank Economic Review · 2018
被引 67 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

实验发现世界银行和英国国际发展部的政策专业人士存在决策偏差,包括框架效应和意识形态驱动的确认偏差,尽管他们本应促进基于证据的公正决策。

Abstract

Abstract Although the decisions of policy professionals are often more consequential than those of individuals in their private capacity, there is a dearth of studies on the biases of policy professionals: those who prepare and implement policy on behalf of elected politicians. Experiments conducted on a novel subject pool of development policy professionals (public servants of the World Bank and the Department for International Development in the UK) show that policy professionals are indeed subject to decision-making traps, including the effects of framing outcomes as losses or gains, and, most strikingly, confirmation bias driven by ideological predisposition, despite having an explicit mission to promote evidence-informed and impartial decision making. These findings should worry policy professionals and their principals in governments and large organizations, as well as citizens themselves. A further experiment, in which policy professionals engage in discussion, shows that deliberation may be able to mitigate the effects of some of these biases.

政策专业人士决策偏差确认偏误意识形态倾向