Armed Conflict and Adolescents’ Early Transition to Childbearing
研究武装冲突如何影响青少年生育行为，发现暴力水平越高，农村女性青少年越早生育，而暴力减少会降低生育概率。
Abstract We estimate the effect of armed conflict on adolescents’ childbearing transition. Three types of models are estimated: models in origin, which determine the current effect of violence; context change models, which estimate the effect of decreased violence levels; and violence aftermath models, which indicate the groups that do not completely adapt to a peaceful context. Through multilevel logistic models, we find that the coefficient of violence depends on the municipality in where adolescents reside or resided. We conclude that violence promotes the transition to childbearing particularly among rural females. However, a reduction in violence levels reduces the probabilities of childbearing.