City shrinkage in China: scalar processes of urban and hukou population losses
基于2000和2010年人口普查数据，分析了336个中国城市中88个城市的总人口、城市人口和户籍人口流失情况，发现制造业衰退、服务业增长和人口活力在人口控制背景下相互作用，挑战了增长导向的城市政策。
Analysis of the latest census data for 2000 and 2010 shows that 88 out of 336 Chinese municipalities suffered combinations of total, urban and hukou population loss. A general ordered logit model examines the ways manufacturing decline, services growth and demographic vitality interact in a specifically Chinese context of population control, contributing empirically and theoretically to studies of city shrinkage. Chinese experience shows that while some cities act as growth engines in emerging economies, others may shrink, and this process may happen before the completion of a rural–urban transition. These findings call for a modification of China’s growth-oriented urban policy.