夏令时能节省电力吗?一项元分析

Does Daylight Saving Save Electricity? A Meta-Analysis

The Energy Journal · 2017
被引 55
ABS 3

中文导读

汇总44项研究的162个估计值,发现夏令时平均仅节省0.34%的电力,且效果因数据频率、估算方法和纬度而异,亚热带地区甚至增加用电。

Abstract

The original rationale for adopting daylight saving time (DST) was energy savings. Modern research studies, however, question the magnitude and even direction of the effect of DST on electricity consumption. Representing the first meta-analysis in this literature, we collect 162 estimates from 44 studies and find that the mean reported estimate indicates slight electricity savings: 0.34% during the days when DST applies. The literature is not affected by publication bias, but the results vary systematically depending on the exact data and methodology applied.Using Bayesian model averaging we identify the most important factors driving the heterogeneity of the reported effects: data frequency, estimation technique (simulation vs. regression), and, importantly, the latitude of the country considered. Electricity savings are larger for countries farther away from the equator, while subtropical regions consume more electricity because of DST.

能源经济学电力消费元分析夏令时