人口减少背景下拆除空置建筑对犯罪的影响

The effect of vacant building demolitions on crime under depopulation

Journal of Regional Science · 2017
被引 38
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了密歇根州萨吉诺市拆除空置建筑对犯罪率的影响,发现拆除后犯罪率在所在街区下降约8%,邻近街区下降约5%,效果在拆除后一至两个月最显著。

Abstract

Abstract The costs of demolishing a vacant building are often justified on the grounds of crime reduction. I explore this claim by estimating the spatial and temporal effects of demolitions on reported crime in the city of Saginaw, Michigan. To do so, I estimate a model that uses within‐block group variation to compare crime after a demolition occurs to before the permit for that demolition was issued. Results indicate that demolitions reduce crime by about 8 percent on the block group in question and 5 percent on nearby block groups, with the largest impact concentrated one to two months after the demolition occurs.

废弃建筑拆除犯罪率人口减少空间效应