Identifying the Rebound: Evidence from a German Household Panel
利用1997-2005年德国家庭出行日记面板数据，估计燃油效率提升带来的反弹效应（效率提高导致额外出行），发现反弹效应高达57%-67%，质疑技术效率政策的节能效果。
Using a panel of household travel diary data collected in Germany between 1997 and 2005, this study assesses the effectiveness of fuel efficiency improvements by estimating the rebound effect, which measures the extent to which higher efficiency causes additional travel. Following a theoretical discussion outlining three alternative definitions of the rebound effect, the econometric analysis generates corresponding estimates using panel methods to control for the effects of unobservables that could otherwise produce spurious results. Our results, which range between 57% and 67%, indicate a rebound that is substantially larger than obtained in other studies, calling into question the efficacy of policies targeted at reducing energy consumption via technological efficiency.