逆风干预:成本与收益、对债务的影响、DSGE模型中的逆风干预以及结果比较框架

Leaning Against the Wind: Costs and Benefits, Effects on Debt, Leaning in DSGE Models, and a Framework for Comparison of Results

International Journal of Central Banking · 2017
被引 12 · 同刊同年前 10%
ABS 3

中文导读

本文总结了Svensson (2017a)提出的逆风干预成本收益分析框架,指出政策利率对债务的影响可能很小且方向不定,DSGE模型中的分析结果可能不稳健,并展示了不同研究得出的边际成本差异很大,强调政策利率对失业率的实际影响至关重要。

Abstract

The simple and transparent framework for cost-benefit analysis of leaning against the wind (LAW) in Svensson (2017a) and its main result are summarized. The analysis of the policy-rate effects on debt in Bauer and Granziera (2017) does not seem to contradict that the effects may be small and of either sign. The analysis of LAW in DSGE models is complicated and the results of Gerdrup et al. (2017) may not be robust. The Svensson (2017a) framework may allow comparison and evaluation of old and new approaches and their results. As an example, it is shown that these three papers result in very different marginal costs of LAW and that a realistic policy-rate effect on unemployment is crucial.

货币政策宏观经济学金融稳定动态随机一般均衡