Getting a Jump on Inflation
官方PCE通胀数据发布滞后，本文发现一组及时指标能实时预测PCE通胀，准确度堪比政府初值，且官方数据发布后仍有参考价值。
Accurate official estimates of Fed policymakers? preferred PCE inflation measure take months, and sometimes years, to become available. A small set of timelier indicators offers realtime power to ?nowcast? PCE inflation. Those indicators provide as much accuracy as initial government estimates and remain informative even after official estimates have been published.