投资者风险感知是否驱动市场中的资产价格?实验证据

Does investor risk perception drive asset prices in markets? Experimental evidence

Journal of Banking & Finance · 2019
被引 66
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验让参与者交易不同收益分布形状的资产,发现即使波动性相同,被感知为风险较低的资产价格显著更高,且损失概率是预测交易价格和风险感知的最强指标。

Abstract

We explore how individual risk perception influences prices and trading behavior in a market setting. Specifically, our study lets experimental participants trade assets characterized by varying shapes of return distributions. While common mean-variance models predict identical prices for most of our assets, we find trading prices to differ significantly. Assets that are perceived as being less risky on average (despite having identical volatility) trade at significantly higher prices. Individually, traders who perceive a certain asset to be less risky are also net buyers on average. With regard to different risk measures, our results show that the probability of a loss is the strongest predictor of transaction prices and risk perception. All these results hold also for experienced traders and when traders can trade two assets at the same time.

投资者风险感知资产定价实验经济学损失概率