加拿大向下名义工资刚性:反对“润滑效应”的证据

Downward nominal wage rigidity in Canada: Evidence against a “greasing effect”

Canadian Journal of Economics · 2018
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

本文重新检验了向下名义工资刚性(DNWR)与通货膨胀目标的关系,发现更高通胀目标虽能降低长期失业率,但在衰退中会加剧受DNWR约束的人数,抵消其缩小失业缺口的好处,且通胀目标变化对失业恢复速度影响不大。

Abstract

Abstract The existence of downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) has often been used to justify a positive inflation target. It is traditionally assumed that positive inflation could “grease the wheels” of the labour market by putting downward pressure on real wages, easing labour market adjustments during a recession. A rise in the inflation target would attenuate the long‐run level of unemployment and hasten economic recovery after an adverse shock. Following Daly and Hobijn (2014), we re‐examine these issues in a model that accounts for precautionary motives in wage‐setting behaviour. We confirm that DNWR generates a long‐run negative relationship between inflation and unemployment, in line with previous contributions to the literature. However, we also find that the increase in the number of people bound by DNWR following a negative demand shock rises with the inflation target, offsetting the beneficial effects a higher inflation target has on closing the unemployment gap. As an implication, contrary to previous contributions that neglected precautionary behaviour, the speed at which unemployment returns back to pre‐crisis levels during recessions is relatively unaffected by variations in the inflation target.

劳动经济学宏观经济学货币政策通货膨胀