A Mechanism for Eliciting Second-Order Beliefs and the Inclination to Choose
提出一种直接揭示机制,用于引出决策者对主观先验或后验概率集合的内省信念,该机制可作为衡量决策者选择倾向的显示偏好程序。
This paper describes a direct revelation mechanism for eliciting decision makers' introspective beliefs on sets of subjective prior or posterior probabilities. The proposed scheme constitutes a revealed-preference procedure for measuring the inclination of decision makers to choose one alternative over another modeled by Minardi and Savochkin (2015).