以贸易换取和平

Trading for peace*

Economic Policy · 2018
被引 33
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究了当特定社会或族群成为暴力廉价目标时,贸易促进和平共处与繁荣的条件,发现群体间不可复制、不可剥夺的互补性对长期和平至关重要,并讨论了移民可信威胁和原住民高监督成本的作用。

Abstract

Abstract I examine the conditions under which trade can support peaceful coexistence and prosperity when particular social and ethnic groups are cheap targets of violence. A simple theoretical framework reveals that for a broad set of cases, while inter-group competition generates incentives for violence, the presence of non-replicable, non-expropriable inter-group complementarities becomes necessary to sustain peaceful coexistence over long time horizons. In addition to complementarity, two further conditions are important for deterring violence over time. When relatively mobile groups (e.g. immigrants) are vulnerable, a credible threat to leave can deter violence. When less mobile (indigenous) groups are vulnerable, high-monitoring costs that allow them to withhold production can improve their gains from trade. I describe the implications for indigenous entrepreneurship and cultural assimilation, the development of local institutions supporting inter-ethnic trust and immigration policies and policies aimed at mitigating conflict through financial innovations. I illustrate these implications using contemporary evidence and historical cases of organizations and institutions created to engender trade and support peace drawn from Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America.

群体间互补性暴力威慑族群流动性与贸易和平制度与信任