两层级与三层级博弈中的(误)认知:经济伙伴协定谈判中的脱节

(Mis)Perceptions in Two‐ and Three‐Level Games: Detachment in Economic Partnership Agreement Negotiations

Journal of Common Market Studies · 2017
被引 29
ABS 3

中文导读

本文重新概念化Putnam的两层级博弈理论,引入“脱节”概念,通过欧盟与西非及加勒比地区经济伙伴协定谈判的案例研究,发现谈判结果更多反映谈判者的认知或偏好,而非国内实际利益,质疑了此类协定的发展效果。

Abstract

Abstract This article builds on the literature on trade negotiating constraints to advance a reconceptualization of Putnam's ( ) two‐level game that accounts for the possibility of detachment. Limited institutional capacities for collecting and transmitting information about the domestic win‐set may prevent domestic constituents from exerting influence on the negotiator. This perspective sheds new light on the outcomes of negotiations in two‐level games, as they do not necessarily reflect actual win‐sets, but more likely the negotiator's (mis)perceptions or (mis)representations thereof. The article builds on an explorative case study of the Economic Partnership Agreement negotiations between the EU and the West African (2003–14) and the Caribbean (2003–07) regions. It relies on qualitative data, including over 60 interviews. The findings demonstrate that detachment meant that these controversial North–South trade agreements primarily reflected the negotiators' perceptions of the regions' interests or their own preferences, which raises doubts about their developmental impact and complicates their implementation.

国际贸易谈判政治经济学国际关系定性研究方法