欧元区财政联盟的公众意见:来自意大利调查实验的证据

Public opinion on the Eurozone fiscal union: evidence from survey experiments in Italy

Journal of European Public Policy · 2017
被引 46
ABS 3

中文导读

通过意大利人口面板调查中的问卷和联合分析,研究公众对欧元区财政联盟的态度,发现高收入右翼、弱欧洲认同者更反对,但高收入者更愿为保留欧元付费,低收入者则在货币联盟表现不佳时更愿放弃欧元。

Abstract

We investigate public attitudes toward the fiscal union: a policy advocated in official European Union documents and designed to address asynchronous economic fluctuations in the eurozone. We employ survey questions and conjoint analyses embedded in population-based panel surveys in Italy, and draw expectations from theories of tax-and-transfer schemes, public insurance, ideology, diffuse support, identity and trust. High-income right-wing individuals with weak European identity and negative assessment of EU membership are more likely to oppose the measure. However, high-income respondents display greater willingness to pay, especially in order to keep the euro, whereas lower-income participants are readier to ditch the currency if the monetary union does not deliver good economic performance. The political feasibility of this policy seems therefore to rest on the willingness to contribute by the core constituency supporting the euro. We also investigate the preferences for the institutional design of the policy.

欧洲联盟公共舆论财政政策政治经济学调查实验