FROM SMILE ASYMPTOTICS TO MARKET RISK MEASURES
研究了如何将隐含波动率微笑的左尾信息(反映市场对股价暴跌风险的评估)纳入凸货币风险度量的理论框架,通过无差异定价和动态凸风险度量建立联系,并提出了扭曲熵动态风险度量以匹配市场微笑。
The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out‐of‐the‐money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be integrated into the theoretical framework of convex monetary measures of risk. In particular, we make use of indifference pricing by dynamic convex risk measures, which are given as solutions of backward stochastic differential equations, to establish a link between these two approaches to risk measurement. We derive a characterization of the implied volatility in terms of the solution of a nonlinear partial differential equation and provide a small time‐to‐maturity expansion and numerical solutions. This procedure allows to choose convex risk measures in a conveniently parameterized class, distorted entropic dynamic risk measures, which we introduce here, such that the asymptotic volatility skew under indifference pricing can be matched with the market skew. We demonstrate this in a calibration exercise to market implied volatility data.